Well League, here we are. One game away.
And I have it all broken down for you. All with the exception of any stat corrections of course. But it was Matthews that got that pick.
So without further ado....
As I texted both guys are even on defense and both are getting 3 extra points from guys with foot specialties. After that the similarities end.
First we have to just say that any defensive play will blow this puppy up. Currently they both have 4 sacks, so the next one would only be worth 3 points. They would need a second to make it 7.
Currently, Joe D has 24 points coming from his QB. He's got 332 yds from Rice, Lynch and Gore giving him 28, and 295 from his RBs, Macklin, and Gronkowski giving him 21 at the WR.....for a grand total of...
QB 24
RB 28
WR 21
K 3
DEF 21
Total Points 97
(future hint...notice i didn't mention back up with Joe??)
Peter is trickier. Damn Newton.
CURRENTLY.... Freeman is starting with 14.
At running back he has Bradshaw, Mendenhall, (Freeman), and Peterson back-up giving him 305yds, or 28 points.
At WR he has Cruz, Moore, Witten, and RBs giving him 385yds for 28 points. For a grand total of ....
QB 14
RB 28
WR 28
P 3
K ?
DEF 21
Total points 94.
So, here is where it gets all matrix-like.
Joe doesn't have his back-up stat in because it currently doesn't matter for him. Johnson at best gave him an extra 46 as a backup, but that only got Joe to 341, needing 19 more yards.
But he does have the option with his running backs with Sproles still out there. Currently Joe is banging down 332, with the next scoring at 375. Do the math ( shout out to Alien).
375-332= 43. BUT THAT IS BACK UP STATS, so Joe needs 86 from sproles and he would be his backup and net him another 7 points at the RB position.
AS FOR PETER....
As i said before, FREEMAN is starting currently, BUT, NEWTON is sitting there with 80 yards rushing and Peter has one more person out there, COLSTON.
It is possible that if COLSTON bags down 127 yards, he could shake this whole thing up.
(don't think so?? jones came close tonight at 110.)
If this were to happen...THEN..
NEWTON would start with 10 points.
RB Mendenhall, Bradshaw and NEWTON giving him 325, or 28 points.
WR Cruz (194), COLSTON (127), Witten (24), R.M. (35), A.B. (8) will give him 388. And if we have MOORE as the backup, half of 124 is 62. 62 + 388 = 450. giving him 35 at the WR. What this would all look like is...
QB 10
RB 28
WR 35
P 3
K ?
DEF 21
Total points 97... Yes, only 97. A friggin' tie if nobody does anything on defense and his kicker misses everything. But I don't think that can happen...
SO, WHERE ARE WE YOU MATH NERD???? JUST GIVE ME THE BREAK DOWN!!!
Currently Joe D is up 97 to 94.
Peter has a kicker left, a sack man, and a WR.
Joe D has a RB, a sack man and a pick guy.
If peter's WR gets 127, he's tied with Joe D.
If Joe D gets 86 yards from his RB he's up by 10.
If either guy gets one sack, it helps them by 3. A second would be 7. Half sacks are only a point.
If BOTH happen, Joe D is still up by 3 and Peter better hope for a sack and a FG.
So, now you know what to watch for tomorrow night. And both offensive guys will suck, there will be no field goals, and will smith will be the only guy getting a sack. Thus making the game a tie and Joe D winning from homefield. Lame, I know, but what can you do?
Hopefully one of these last guys will go gangbusters and make my job a lot easier...
Congrats if you followed this message to the end and understood all the math...
You are next in line as the Commish of 2012.
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